[Onebornfree/Freedom Network commentary: Bill Bonner is one of the few financial writers that I bother to keep up with these days, not because I always agree with his opinion on the economy etc., although I fairly often do, but because he is a very good and thoughtful writer who makes me think; he does not pull any punches, and he is also often very funny, so he makes me laugh as well as think. However, this particular piece by him, although originally directed at his usual audience, and therefor superficially concerned with business/finance/investment, and related economic issues, has far broader implications, and the "big picture" message - the futility of central planning - has, in my opinion, very important implications and broad principles that can be applied to all facets of an individuals life. My only "quibble" with this article is his use of the economist F.A, Hayek's "Fatal Conceit" quote and related as a supposed illustration of Bonner's ideal, when in fact, if you dig below the surface, you will discover that Hayek, although he superficially talked "a good game", was, ultimately, very much a statist/central planner himself :-) . Regards, onebornfree.]
"There are those who believe they can make the right decision more
right… or the poet more poetic. And although many of these snake-oil
salesmen content themselves with a quick buck and the next train out of
town, some of them go for the long con. These are the central planners.
The illusions, mistakes and misconceptions of central planners take
their toll in a great variety of ways – mostly as costly nuisances.
Occasionally, when they are particularly ambitious, they make the
history books.
Napoleon’s march on Moscow. Mao’s great famine. The Soviet Union’s
70-year economic experiment. These fiascos are caused by well-meaning,
smart public officials. They are the Hell to which the road paved with
good intentions leads.
The Fatal Conceit
Sometimes, a mistaken public policy can be reversed or abandoned
before it has done serious harm. Mostly, however, a combination of
special circumstances makes correction impossible. The disastrous
policies are reinforced until they finally reckon themselves out in a
catastrophic way.
Large-scale planners fail because they believe three things that aren’t true.
First, that they know the exact and entire present state of the
community they are planning for (wants, desires, hopes, capabilities,
resources); second, that they know where the community ought to go (what
future would be best); third, that they are capable of creating the
future they want.
None of those things is more than an illusion. Together, they
constitute what F.A. Hayek called “the fatal conceit… that man is able
to shape the world around him according to his wishes.”
Each man always does his level best to shape his world in a way that
pleases him. One wants a fat wife. One wants a fortune. One wants to
spend his time playing golf. Each will try to get what he wants
depending upon the circumstances. And the future will happen.
The pretension of the central planner is he knows a better future – one that he can design and bring about.
The god-like vanity of this assertion is staggering. No one knows
what future is best for humankind. People only know what they want.
The Future Has to Wait
We presume the best future is the one in which people get what they want… or at the very least what they deserve.
A man burning in Hell may want ice cream; it doesn’t mean he will get
it. But the central planner presumes to know not only what he wants,
but also what he should have. (It is scarcely worth mentioning that the
central planner’s hands are as empty as his head. He has no ice cream to
give anyone.)
Where individual plans and evolution will take us collectively no one
knows. Fate will have the final say. But the central planner will have
his say first, disrupting the plans of millions of people in the
process. He certainly has no amor fati. It would put him out of business.
Instead, he steps in to impose his version of the future. And as soon
as the smallest bit of time and resources are shanghaied for his ends
rather than those of individual planners, the rate of natural,
evolutionary progress slows.
The millions of private trials that would have otherwise taken place
are postponed or canceled. The errors that might have been revealed and
corrected are not discovered. The future has to wait.
Even when they are applied with ruthless thoroughness, central plans
inevitably and eventually go FUBAR. No “workers’ paradise” ever happens.
The War on Drugs (or Poverty… or Crime… or Terror… or Cancer) ends in a
defeat, not a victory. Unemployment does not go down. The “war to end
war” doesn’t end war. The Domino Theory falls; the dominoes don’t.
And if any of these grand programs “succeeds,” it does so by undoing
previous plans often at a cost that is far out of balance with the
reward. World War II is an example of central planning that seemed to
work. But the Allies were merely nullifying the efforts of more
ambitious central planners in Germany and Japan.
A Not So Rational Life
Generally, life on Earth is not so “rational” that it lends itself to
simple-minded, heavy-handed intervention by the naïve social engineer.
Sure, we can design bridges. Houses too. And particle accelerators.
But we cannot design economies. No more than we can invent real
languages. Societies. Customs. Markets. Love. Marriages. Children. Or
any of the other important things in life.
Not to overstate the case, however, it is also true that humans can
design and achieve a certain kind of future. If the planners at the
Pentagon, for example, decided that a nuclear war would be a good thing,
they could bring it about. The effects would be huge. And hugely
effective.
This extreme example reveals the only kind of alternative future that
the planners are capable of delivering. Large-scale central planning
can be effective, but only by pulverizing the delicate fabric of evolved
civilized life.
It is a future that practically no one wants, because it means
destroying the many different futures already in the works – marriages,
businesses, babies, baptisms, hunting trips, shopping, investments and
all the other activities of normal life.
Not all central planning produces calamities on that scale, of
course. But all, to the extent they are effective, are repulsive. The
more they achieve the planners’ goals, the more they interfere with
private goals, and the more they retard or destroy the progress of the
human race."
Article Source
But currently in Congress, the short-sighted Republicans are afraid to impeach Obama, charge James Clapper with perjury, and do other responsible and morally necessary things, out of fear of losing their Party’s control in the House in 2014.
You see, reforming government with government is a fool’s errand, and a waste of time. As Hans-Hermann Hoppe has discussed, bureaucrats resist reform.
Has there ever been a time in which the Rulers were willing to let go of power already accumulated?
Thanks to the nature of democracy and the State, America is becoming a police state.
And now with a secrecy-obsessed federal Leviathan run amok, we have un-American secret warrants, secret courts, and secret court opinions.
This police state is only getting worse by the day, with an increasing number of judges who naïvely sign these secret warrants and carry out secret proceedings.
Do you really think these judges and court flunkies can be convinced by people outside the national security state to go against the already-powerful NSA, CIA, FBI and so forth?
And while Lavabit and Silent Circle have closed down rather than willfully act with complicity to the government’s crimes against the provider’s customers, do you really believe that the email providers such as Verizon will decide to protect their customers’ privacy and security by going against the monster Leviathan?
The truth is, there is plenty of information now to show that the U.S. government’s spying on Americans is for mainly criminal purposes.
And with bureaucrats’ secrecy obsession, their Soviet-like crackdown on the Press shows that those who are above the law obviously don’t want their illicit and unlawful acts to be revealed.
In the Michael Hastings case, for example, local police and firefighters were told not to talk to the news media regarding his car crash, just as there was a gag order in the case of Christopher Dorner, the rogue L.A. cop who allegedly killed several other cops. That gag order was in the name of “officer safety.”
However, the Press’s duty is to the people and to the truth. They do not exist to serve the police. If officers are so frightened and concerned for their safety in those situations, then perhaps that line of work is not for them.
But it was that Dorner had allegedly killed cops which was why the police went on to shoot up innocent people’s cars and then go on to burn Dorner to a crisp.
Would the cops have been so hysterical had Dorner only killed a mere civilian?
That seems to be how narcissistic government police are now. “Officer safety” and all that.
But that is just what a government’s monopolizing of security services breeds. It becomes a self-serving enterprise.
The same police hysteria occurred after the Boston Marathon bombings. The police had their unconstitutional door-to-door searches in Watertown, looking for one suspect who, besides being a Marathon bombing suspect, was alleged to kill a cop.
Many times throughout American history there had been prison escapes of hard-core killers. But the police did not do door-to-door searches at those times, because those previous generations understood the U.S. Constitution’s Fourth Amendment.
But times are different now, with the decaying of American society and culture in general.
If you believe that the Watertown siege would still have occurred had Dzhokhar Tsarnaev been alleged to kill only mere civilians, then I have a bridge to sell you.
Meanwhile, it was never clear as to whether the Tsarnaev brothers were the real killers of the MIT police officer. And subsequent to that incident, several witnesses had stated that the other officer, of the transit police, who was shot and wounded but not killed was probably shot by fellow officers, “friendly fire.” And following the police shootout at the boat where a private civilian found the younger Tsarnaev brother, apparently no weapon was found with that suspect. The shootout had involved just police. That is how hysterical they were. And there have been further inconsistencies with that case.
And then there was the case of Troy Davis, who had been on death row in Georgia after having been falsely convicted of killing a cop. Even though witnesses had recanted their testimony after claiming it was coerced by police, even though there had been no actual evidence to prove Davis’s guilt in the killing, he was murdered by the state of Georgia anyway.
In my view, had Davis been falsely convicted of killing a mere civilian (and not a cop), the governor, the Georgia Board of Pardons and Paroles, the Georgia Supreme Court and the U.S. Supreme Court would not have knowingly let an innocent and wrongfully convicted man be put to death.
That is how slavish to uniformed authority many people are now.
But with government monopolization of security, the monopolists are not accountable and they do not obey the law as imposed on the rest of us.
It is doomed to become – and has become – a cult of self-serving State authority vs. the rest of the population.
Likewise, the U.S. government’s monopoly of security for the entire territory has done nothing but empower the Rulers to provoke foreigners and to convince the naïve public to accept a bigger and more criminally intrusive Leviathan.
In more recent years, there have been the NSA and IRS scandals, constant FBI and other federal S.W.A.T. raids on the wrong house, the FBI thwarting terrorist plots that the FBI themselves cook up, FBI entrapments, and so on.
My, how the Fulbright Hearings, the Watergate Hearings, the Church Committee, the Tower Commission and other similar efforts at reform certainly have succeeded!
Let’s have more reform!
And now Army PFC Bradley Manning, a.k.a. Chelsea Manning – who was given a kangaroo trial administered by an extremely biased judge – has been railroaded into a 35-year sentence on top of time already served in a tortured solitary confinement.
But Manning didn’t “betray his country” or commit actual espionage on behalf of any foreign enemy. Military and security experts had testified that none of the information Manning gave to WikiLeaks had posed any danger to any American or U.S. soldier overseas.
Another military whistleblower, retired USAF Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski has pointed out that there have been actual spies, Robert Hanssen, Aldrich Ames, James Hall, and George Trofimoff, who actually did sell secrets to foreign regimes such as Russia but who had been treated much more humanely by the U.S. government than Manning was treated.
You see, Manning felt it was important to inform the American people of the war crimes and diplomatic buffoonery committed by our own government.
Manning’s “crime” was of having a moral conscience, and of embarrassing and angering our corrupt and criminal Rulers who didn’t like their criminality and incompetence exposed for all the world to see.
That is part of the cult of self-serving State authority that we have now.
It is amazing how the campaign to mislead and propagandize – led by U.S. government officials and repeated by their Press stenographers – has turned actual government whistleblowers into “bad guys” in the eyes of many misinformed and gullible people, from the very beginning of the WikiLeaks documents releases and the Manning witch hunt.
At the very beginning of the Manning witch hunt, in June 2010, Glenn Greenwald wrote about the FBI informant who had turned Manning in to the government, Adrian Lamo, and on Lamo’s relationship with Wired senior editor Kevin Poulsen. At that time, Wired had published only a partial version of the chat logs between Manning and Lamo.
Greenwald wrote a subsequent update to that, in which it turned out there had been quite some relationship between Wired’s Poulsen and informant Lamo, that Lamo had been the government’s one and only source against Manning, and Greenwald noted the “journalistic disgrace” in Wired’s withholding of key information from other news reporters on the Manning case.
And Greenwald wrote a further update after Wired had published the full Manning-Lamo chat logs.
We must ask: Were Poulsen and Wired withholding information from other journalists to help the government project a false narrative of why Bradley Manning released documents to WikiLeaks? You can read those articles and make your own conclusions.
Similar to Wired’s intentionally withholding of the rest of the Manning-Lamo chat logs was the New York Times’s withholding the truth that a murderous CIA officer (and former Blackwater employee) Obama had referred to as “our diplomat in Pakistan” was really a CIA officer, because the U.S. government apparently told the Times to conceal the truth.
And it was disappointing to read in a periodical as prestigious as the New York Times its Pulitzer Prize winning foreign correspondent resorting to tabloid-like, gossip page material on Julian Assange’s personal life and character.
Greenwald also documented how other news journalists such as Wolf Blitzer reacted more angrily toward WikiLeaks’ revelations than toward the U.S. government’s crimes which were revealed.
In fact, Glenn Greenwald has written many times now of our modern day State-Press enmeshment.
Sadly, as the Press have tended to lose their “watchdog” status (and their objectivity) in the name of retaining favored status with preferred government insiders for sources, many members of the media have allowed themselves to serve merely as government spokesmen.
In further examples, Greenwald has pointed out CBS News fossil Bob Schieffer’s excruciating lack of objectivity in Schieffer’s recent softball interview of former Bush NSA director Michael Hayden on Edward Snowden, as well as Schieffer’s dishonest interview of Ron Paul, and the media’s attacks on the late investigative journalist Michael Hastings. (And see even more similar criticisms of the news media by Greenwald here.)
So given that the hypocrites of the Press now act as government press releases, the people depend more on alternative media to learn the truth about what’s going on.
For instance, the obedient State stenographers have not informed Americans of the possibility that the chemical weapons used in Syria may have been a part of a false flag attack as directed by the U.S. government, but Yahoo! News and reporter Anthony Gucciardi have reported on that.
And Dale Gavlak and Yahya Ababneh have reported that rebels and others interviewed have stated that rebels were responsible for the chemical attacks, provided to them by the Saudi government. But have MSM outlets reported these assertions?
(Actually, the central planners seemed to want to attack Syria for years. But that’s for a different discussion.)
So, the more the State grows, the more an oppressive Leviathan needs a sycophantic Press to keep the corroding State propped up. And the Establishment Press needs the State as well.
Actually, the subservient and slavish Press mainly reflect America’s modern day general population.
And the truth is, just as with local police departments as noted above, with the U.S. government it’s not about “national security,” safety or justice – it’s all about the bureaucrats keeping their illicit schemes and criminality swept under the rug, it’s about their power trips and their egos. And the State.
So in my opinion, each election cycle is a mere rearranging of deck chairs on a sinking ship.
Sorry to sound like such a gloomy Gus, but it really is important to get people to wake up and learn the truth about the State and the evils of central planning.
Toward that goal, the new Ron Paul Channel should be instructive, in addition to the Voluntaryist, Tom Woods’s Liberty Classroom, LRC and other similar sources of information.
Perhaps some day the people will be better able to open their minds to the truly radical, alternative approach of uncompromising libertarianism, as discussed recently at the Future of Freedom Foundation.
Now, I don’t mean to be harsh, but it really is the statists and reformers who are “utopian” in their unrealistic hope that government employees will leave their human flaws out the door and won’t exploit the privilege of being above the law granted to them by the powers of the State.
In fact, given history as well as the direction in which America is currently heading, one could argue that the right of the people to bear arms and voluntaryist resistance would be far more effective toward securing one’s community and repelling invasion by foreigners or crimes by one’s own Rulers."
Scott Lazarowitz [send him mail] is a writer and cartoonist,visit his blog .
More About "Onebornfree":
"Onebornfree" is a personal freedom consultant , a problem solver, and a musician. He can be reached at: onebornfreeatyahoodotcom .
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